Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Projects Eligible Under Tax Holiday Incentive

The Government has offered tax holiday for Real Estate Developers. We checked with the management of these companies and the following projects are likely to qualify under the same.

Company, Project, City and Number of Apartments
DLF Garden City Chennai ~3000
DLF New Town Heights Kolkata ~780
DLF Riverside Kochi ~176
DLF New Town Heights Gurgaon ~3000
Unitech Gateway Kolkata na
Unitech Harmony Kolkata na
Unitech Uniworld City Mohali na
Unitech Uniworld City Gr Noida na
Parsvnath PrideAsia Chandigarh ~359
Parsvnath Parsvnath City Dharuhera ~1000
Parsvnath Parsvnath Royale Panchkula 440
Parsvnath Parsvnath Palacia Gr Noida 382
Parsvnath Parsvnath Castle Rajpura 196
Parsvnath Parsvnath Exotica Ghaziabad 858
Parsvnath Parsvnath City Indore na
Parsvnath Parsvnath Preston Sonepat ~1200
Omaxe The Forest Spa Noida ~176
Omaxe Royal Residency Ludhiana na
Puravankara Swanlake Chennai ~700
Puravankara Elita Garden Vista Kolkata 1278
Puravankara Hallmark Bangalore na
Puravankara Oceania Kochi na
Puravankara Jade Chennai na
Puravankara Moonreach Kochi na

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

New Incentives from the Govt - Complete Analysis

The Indian government has announced new incentives for the property sector, which should, at the margin, be beneficial for the developers (2-4% EPS upside for F10-12, plus better demand) and the home buyers (5-7% savings for certain affordable housing). More importantly, the incentives highlight the government's pro-consumer and pro-developer policy stance. Two key announcements are detailed below.

Section 80IB (10) has been amended to extend (income) the tax holiday by one year to those housing projects approved in F08 (Apr 07-Mar 08) and get completed before Mar’12. Under this section, only housing units measuring up to 1000sf in Mumbai and Delhi and up to 1500sf elsewhere qualify. Developers can not avail this benefit for larger housing units.

In general, most property developers should directly benefit from this, depending on the extent of projects qualifying for the above. Even though not all the information is available, we estimate that DLF could benefit for its projects totaling 6-7 msf (Kolkata, Kochi, Chennai and New Gurgaon) and UT for 2-3 msf (Kolkata and Greater Noida). Assuming Rs400 psf tax benefit (to be realized over 3 years), we estimate this incentive could lift our earnings estimates by 2-4% for F10-12.

Interest subvention of 1% on all housing loans up to Rs1 mln to individuals, provided the cost of the house does not exceed Rs2 mln. This interest subsidy will be routed through the scheduled commercial banks and would be available for one year. The government has provided Rs10 bln for this incentive.

This incentive should, at the margin, facilitate demand for affordable housing (ASP Rs2000-2400 psf, 1000-800sf unit size). We estimate 5-7% lower outgo for the customer on the total mortgage outlay for 1% interest cost subvention. We believe developers that focus on affordable housing including UT, DLF, should benefit from this.

Monday, July 06, 2009

Chronology of Events - No Recovery Yet

Excerpts from Morgan Stanley Indian Realty Research list the chronology of events in the Indian Real Estate space.
  • Bad to Worse Market Conditions 20-Oct-08
  • Sobha Blinks - First Official Price Cut in the Sector 23-Nov-08
  • Price Softening Becomes More Widespread 7-Dec-08
  • Price Cuts Accelerating, Land Bank Contraction Begins 19-Feb-09
  • Price Cut Party Getting Bigger; New Launch Pickup 6-Mar-09
  • Behold, Oversupply Coming In Mumbai, Gurgaon 8-Apr-09
  • Price Correction Sets In Central Mumbai, Volumes Modest 10-May-09
  • Vol Trends In New Launch look up 15-Jun-09
  • Commercial/Retail Demand Remains Subdued 2-Jul-09
Importantly, several old pre-leases have been negotiated down 15-20% - and mgmt teams are guiding to 20-30% lower rental expectation (Lower Parel Rs225 psf, Kurla Rs80-85, Bangalore / Pune /Chennai/Hyderabad - Rs50-70 psf) for the un-leased portion (versus Jan'09). In addition, retailers want mall developers to share the business risks, and, therefore, revenue sharing (4-20%) is getting increasingly common.

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Wednesday, July 01, 2009

Expectations for upcoming budget from Industry

Here is the wish list of Indian Real Estate Developers from the Finance Minister, Mr. Pranab Mukherjee for the forthcoming budget.

1.Reintroduce tax holiday for mass housing under Sec 80 (IB)
2. Tax holiday available to hotels under section 80ID to be extended 10 years from existing 5 yrs. Gestation period in hotel industry, itself, stretches from 4 to 5 yrs.
3. Re-introduce 'tax pass through' status for domestic venture capital funds that invest in the Indian real estate sector
4. Clarity on regulations/taxation on real estate mutual funds (REMFs)
5. Extend the external commercial borrowing scheme to the entire Indian real estate sector
6. Encourage states to reduce stamp duty to 5% and to provide a system of credit for each stage of sale i.e. levy on value addition.
7. Increase the tax break on home loan interest under section 24(b) to Rs 300,000 from the existing limit of Rs 150,000 for self occupied houses.
8. Service tax on renting immovable property should be abolished
9. Reduction/ rationalization of customs duty (exemption from special additional duty) and excise duty (8% to 4%)
10. Extension of STPI clause. Current deadline expires by Mar-10.
11. Introduction of a real estate regulator